CS2
CS2 Souvenir Package & Sticker Capsule Odds and Costs
It might be tempting to open the new CS2 Souvenir Packages or Major Sticker Capsules. Before you do so, read this article to fully understand the odds and costs of opening Souvenir Packages or Sticker Capsules.
Odds
andCosts
Counter-Strike 2 (CS2) continues the proud tradition of Souvenir Packages, coveted collectibles that blend esports excitement with in-game flair. Whether you're watching a Major or trading skins, these packages are a fascinating part of the CS2 ecosystem. But what’s really inside them? And what are the odds of landing something valuable?
Let’s break it down.
Souvenir Packages are special loot boxes that contain weapon skins themed around a specific CS2 Major tournament. Unlike normal cases, they do not require keys to open and are linked to matches and teams from official Valve-sponsored events.
Each Souvenir Package includes: One weapon skin from a specific map collection
There are two primary ways to get a CS2 Souvenir Package:
Viewer Pass Reward: Users who buy a viewer pass for a Major (e.g., PGL Copenhagen 2024) can earn Souvenir Tokens by completing Pick’Em challenges. These tokens are redeemed for packages based on specific matches.
Souvenir Drops: In previous versions like CS:GO, packages could randomly drop to viewers who watched Major matches while having their Steam account linked. In CS2, Valve has focused more on the token redemption system.
Average Souvenir Package Odds
Rarity | Color | Odds | Simplified Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
Consumer Grade | Gray | 80% | 4 in 5 |
Industrial Grade | Blue | 16% | 1 in 6 |
Mil-Spec Grade | Dark Blue | 3.2% | 1 in 31 |
Restricted | Purple | 0.64% | 1 in 156 |
Classified | Pink | 0.128% | 1 in 781 |
Covert | Red | 0.0256% | 1 in 3906 |
Average Souvenir Package Costs per Item Rarity
Rarity | Cost per item (2.5$ Case) | Cost per item (5$ Case) | Cost per item (10$ Case) | Cost per item (100$ Case) | Cost per item (1500$ Case) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Consumer Grade | 3,12 $ | 6,25 $ | 12,50 $ | 125,00 $ | 1.875,00 $ |
Industrial Grade | 15,00 $ | 30,00 $ | 60,00 $ | 600,00 $ | 9.000,00 $ |
Mil-Spec Grade | 77,50 $ | 155,00 $ | 310,00 $ | 3.100,00 | 46.500,00 $ |
Restricted | 390,00 $ | 780,00 $ | 1.560,00 $ | 15.600,00 | 234.000,00 $ |
Classified | 1.925,00 $ | 3.850,00 $ | 7.700,00 $ | 77.000 | 1.155.000,00 $ |
Covert | 9.765,00 $ | 19.530,00 $ | 39.060,00 $ | 390.600,00 $ | 5.859.000,00 $ |
The most expensive souvenir skin available is the AWP Dragon Lore, which is in factory-new condition. Depending on the applied stickers, this Skin can reach prices above half a million US dollars. However, if you take the average number of Souvenir Packages it takes to open a covert skin, the current average costs of opening a Souvenir Dragon Lore are close to 6.000.000 US dollars. Not considering the limited supply of Cobblestone Packages.
CS2 Sticker Capsules
Sticker Capsules are typically tied to:
Official Majors and events (e.g., Copenhagen 2024)
Special collaborations or community sticker collections
Player autograph capsules featuring pro signatures
Each capsule contains one sticker, randomly drawn from a curated pool.
Average Sticker Capsule Odds
Rarity | Color | Odds | Simplified Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
High Grade | Dark Blue | 80% | 4 in 5 |
Remarkable | Purple | 16% | 1 in 6 |
Exotic | Pink | 3.2% | 1 in 31 |
Extraordinary | Red | 0.641% | 1 in 156 |
Average Sticker Capsule Cost per Item
Rarity | Cost per item (0.15$ Case) | Cost per item (0.5$ Case) | Cost per item (1$ Case) | Cost per item (5$ Case) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
High Grade (Blue) | 0,19 $ | 0,63 $ | 1,25 $ | 6,25$ |
Remarkable (Purple) | 0,90 $ | 3,00 $ | 6,00 $ | 30,00 $ |
Exotic (Pink) | 4,65 $ | 15,50 $ | 31,00 $ | 155,00 $ |
Extraordinary (Red) | 23,40 $ | 78,00 $ | 156,00 $ | 780,00 $ |
Market Impact and Value
Souvenir skins & stickers often become expensive due to:
Tournament popularity
Iconic MVP players (e.g., s1mple, ZywOo)
Maps getting removed from active duty (retiring collections)
High rarity in good condition
However, keep in mind that it is always cheaper to buy the Souvenir Skin or Sticker you are looking for. Opening Souvenir Packages and Sticker Capsules is, on average, never worth it.
You can buy and sell your Souvenir Packages & Skins, Stickers & Sticker Capsules on Skinport.
